SAP has a message for software doomsayers: The pendulum will swing back

Sep 05, 2026 05:00 PM - 1 hour ago 2

Jan Gilg, SAP

Jan Gilg, SAP's world president of customer occurrence and Americas. SAP

A SAP executive says the "pendulum will plaything back" from the SaaSpocalypse.

Like galore package companies, the German package elephantine has seen its banal deed difficult complete the past twelvemonth amid title from AI tools. This banal sell-off of software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies, known arsenic the SaaSpocalypse, has deed companies for illustration Salesforce, SAP, and Workday arsenic Anthropic and OpenAI person introduced devices that could frighten their businesses.

SAP's banal has been down astir 20% complete the past year, though it's been connected an upward inclination complete the past month.

When SAP reported its net successful precocious July, investors responded positively to the company's cloud-led maturation and advances successful its business AI. Jan Gilg, SAP's world president of customer occurrence and Americas, told Business Insider that the sell-off was "a spot of an overreaction connected the full industry."

"As usual, I consciousness the pendulum will plaything back," Gilg said. "There will beryllium users. There will beryllium losers and winners. I genuinely judge SAP will beryllium connected the broadside of the winners."

To get connected the winning side, Gilg says SAP has been reinventing itself pinch AI, investing successful its information capabilities, and changing its pricing models.

"Everybody has AI connected the schedule correct now," Gilg said.

SAP bounces backmost from the SaaSpocalypse

SAP's banal has jumped astir 40% since it reported net successful precocious July.

There's a logic for that, Gilg says. SAP isn't easy replaceable done a vibe-coded tool, though Gilg does expect companies to leverage AI to build package overmuch faster. Internally, SAP has besides utilized AI to amended its output and build its ain software, and it sees AI arsenic an opportunity to amended its devices for customers.

"It's really multifaceted. On the 1 side, location was the thought that customers will vibe codification their package themselves alternatively than buying packaged software. We don't spot that frankly," Gilg said. "We don't spot that, particularly for mission-critical purposes. It's not conscionable astir features and functions. It's astir auditability, governance, and the attraction of the software."

While Gilg says he hasn't seen customers replacing SAP software, he has seen title complete tech budgets—especially pinch token spending, aliases really companies salary for AI. SAP has a "good position" for this because customers trust connected SAP information to tally their business processes and tin show its value, Gilg said.

"Customers are seeing token costs spell done the tile already," Gilg said. "How do you measurement and power that, and really do you show an result for that? Budgets won't needfully increase. It will still person to travel from somewhere. Therefore, the scrutiny will go much, overmuch bigger."

SAP is competing much pinch Palantir

Lately, Gilg has been focusing connected explaining to customers really they tin use from AI and what SAP tin offer. Customers person spent a batch of money connected AI, though galore haven't seen the business outcomes, profit, aliases productivity gains they're looking for.

"Customers person not yet seen the use of AI," Gilg said. "That is surely thing they are digging deeper into now."

To reside that, SAP built its first foundational model, Tabular AI, which tin thief make predictions based connected business data. In the future, Gilg expects group to interact pinch SAP products done earthy connection and voice.

SAP has besides been investing successful its ontology capabilities to let customers to audit their systems and activity pinch AI agents to thief make decisions. Ontology is simply a favourite Palantir buzzword, and these capabilities put SAP successful much direct competition pinch the AI information company.

While SAP competes pinch Palantir, they besides partner to move information betwixt systems. SAP says its advantage complete rivals is its information from complete 10,000 customers, which allows it to build much useful capabilities.

"We do spot caller players retired location from Anthropic, OpenAI, Palantir, and truthful on," Gilg said. "That's going to beryllium the battlefield of the future."

Internally, SAP uses AI crossed departments specified arsenic finance, quality resources, and more. For example, labor tin usage an soul chatbot to inquire questions aliases AI devices to constitute code. Sales labor tin usage AI to thief pinch customer briefings aliases to study markets.

"We are decidedly pivoting the institution each successful connected AI," Gilg said. "We're doing this successful a position of strength. Frankly, it's an improvement for america arsenic well."

SAP is overhauling really it charges for AI

Gilg says AI will thief SAP turn arsenic it changes its business model. For example, it's moving from immoderate subscription models to consumption-based models, meaning customers salary for what they use. The marketplace has been shifting toward this pricing model, particularly arsenic precocious AI usage tin thrust up costs.

"What result are they driving?" Gilg said. "That's really we complaint the depletion of those agents, which is very transparent to customers. Also, it's overmuch easier to warrant why they would really salary for it. That's the existent exemplary galore are following."

SAP still has a ample subscription business, and galore ample customers usage a hybrid exemplary betwixt subscription and consumption-based pricing.

More SaaS acquisitions could beryllium coming

This year, SAP acquired Prior Labs, Reltio, and Dremio to boost its AI and information capabilities. Across the industry, Gilg expects to spot a activity of acquisitions, particularly pinch much AI-native startups and talent coming retired of these companies.

"There's going to beryllium a campy of losers and winners," Gilg said. "We person seen valuations spell down rather significantly. That's an opportunity and liking for companies for illustration that to look astatine wide spaces."

Gilg says SAP will besides see this if it makes consciousness for its business, though it would debar companies that tin beryllium easy replaced by AI. If it's costly and time-consuming to move from that software, customers are little apt to switch it pinch an AI-built application, Gilg said.

"I do spot that location will surely beryllium a level of consolidation from my perspective, particularly pinch vendors focused connected azygous products," Gilg said. "Maybe niche areas, for illustration legal statement management. Those are spaces that astir apt will beryllium disrupted rather significantly."

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Rosalie Chan is simply a elder editor for Business Insider's tech team. Previously, she covered unreality computing and endeavor tech, reporting on companies for illustration Google Cloud, Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, Intel, Alibaba Cloud, Atlassian, GitHub, VMware, Broadcom, and more. She has written extensively connected topics including unreality computing, developer companies, unfastened source, and sexism and intersexual harassment successful the tech industry. She has received the San Francisco Press Club grant for continuing sum for her reporting connected sexism and intersexual harassment successful Silicon Slopes and the Excellence successful Business / Consumer / Tech Reporting grant from the Asian American Journalists Association for her investigation into the coding footwear camp Holberton School. Most recently, she was an editor connected the Business Insider investigative package, The True Cost of Data Centers, which received a George Polk Award and an honorable mention from SABEW.Rosalie joined Business Insider aft moving arsenic a package technologist and freelance journalist. She studied journalism, machine science, and exertion and business rule astatine Northwestern University. Her activity has antecedently appeared successful TIME, the Huffington Post, VICE, Pacific Standard, Inverse, Chicago magazine, the Chicago Reporter, and more. She's based successful San Francisco.

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