The Tariff Cost: analysis of the costs to Americans from new tariffs on Canada

And Canada is taxing you back

What Canada is taxing

What Canada taxes are American exports, the things American workers turn and build. Today the database is alloy and almost thing else. September's includes groceries.

The rates

Every statement Canada taxes coming is 25%. September adds a 50% tier and puts hundreds of American alloy and aluminum lines successful it.

Look it up

Every American merchandise connected Canada's list, each — of them. Filter it, aliases hunt for thing specific.

Schedule Category Rate Search

Method

Every number connected this page is measured, pinch 1 exception. Nothing present is simply a forecast aliases a projection. The objection is What tariffs cost your household, above, which needs an presumption nary dataset tin supply. It says truthful astatine the apical of the conception and carries a explanation wherever it appears. Elsewhere, when a mobility could only beryllium answered by assuming something, we opportunity truthful and time off the number out.

Six nationalist datasets, each free, each citable:

• Duty really collected connected Canadian goods, and the worth it was charged connected — U.S. Census Bureau, timeseries/intltrade/imports (CAL_DUT_YR, CON_VAL_YR).
• U.S. exports to Canada by authorities and commodity — U.S. Census Bureau, exports/statehs.
• U.S. exports to Canada by authorities and industry — U.S. Census Bureau, exports/statenaics.
• U.S. power imports from Canada by state — U.S. Census Bureau, imports/statehs, HS 2709/2710/2711/2716.
• Household count — U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 1-year 2024, array B11001.
• Canada's counter-tariff list — Department of Finance Canada, complete database of U.S. products taxable to antagonistic tariffs.

Two tariffs, 2 payers. Canada's counter-tariffs are paid by Canadian importers and show up successful Canadian prices. What they deed connected this broadside is American exporters, the group who make what is connected the list. Washington's tariffs connected Canadian equipment are paid astatine the American separator by American importers, and that is the duty counted successful What you person already paid. Two different taxes pinch 2 different payers. Do not adhd them together.

What this page does not show you, because the information cannot:

• How overmuch of the work connected Canadian equipment reaches a support price. That is pass-through, and it is simply a separator determination made patient by firm. The Canada figures above presume thing astir it. They are work collected astatine the border. The 1 modelled number connected this page does authorities a pass-through rate, but for tariffs connected each U.S. imports alternatively than Canada's alone. See below.
• What a tariff will do to immoderate early price, astatine the pump aliases anyplace else.
• How galore jobs are astatine risk. Turning export dollars into a occupation count needs an attribution exemplary we do not have.
• What stock of immoderate industry's exports is tariffed. The tariff database is classified by HS and the manufacture information by NAICS; joining them takes a concordance we do not have, and guessing 1 would manufacture a number.

Counting tariff lines tells you really wide the database is, not really overmuch money is connected it. One statement tin transportation a cardinal dollars of waste and acquisition aliases almost none. That is why the dollar figures travel from waste and acquisition information alternatively of from the list.