The original URL for this prediction will no longer be available in 11 years (2011)

Aug 09, 2026 11:30 AM - 3 hours ago 3

Bet 601

Duration 11 years (02011-02022)

STAKES $1,000

will spell to Bletchly Park Trust if Keith wins,
aliases The Internet Archive if Haughey wins.

Keith's Argument

"Cool URIs don't change" wrote Tim Berners-Lee successful 01999, but nexus rot is the entropy of the web. The probability of a web archive surviving successful its original location decreases greatly complete time. I fishy that moreover a comparatively short clip play (eleven years) is excessively agelong for a assets to survive.

I would emotion to beryllium proven wrong.

Haughey's Argument

Though overmuch of the web is ephemeral successful nature, now that we person surpassed the 20 twelvemonth people since the web was created and gone done respective booms and busts, exertion and strategies person matured to the constituent wherever keeping a tract going pinch a unchangeable URI strategy is wrong scope of anyone pinch mean technological knowledge. My oldest sites are going connected 13 years aged astatine the clip of this stake and the original URL strategy still functions via 301 redirects to a last format we selected astir six years ago.


Detailed Terms

On February 22nd, 2022 from 00:01 UTC until 23:59 UTC,
entering the characters http://www.longbets.org/601 into the reside barroom of a web browser aliases bid statement instrumentality (like curl)
OR
using a web browser to travel a hyperlink that points to http://www.longbets.org/601
MUST
return an HTML archive that still contains the pursuing text: "The original URL for this prediction (www.longbets.org/601) will nary longer beryllium disposable successful eleven years."

A 301 redirect from www.longbets.org/601 to a different URL containing that matter would besides fulfill those conditions.

If those conditions are met, Matt wins.

If those conditions aren't met, Jeremy wins.


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