SpaceX's science fiction dreams come with an astronomical bill

Aug 05, 2026 05:07 PM - 1 month ago 387

SpaceX Starship pinch the sun mounting down it.

SpaceX's AI measure is astir arsenic ample arsenic its rockets. SERGIO FLORES/AFP via Getty Images

As an abandoned SpaceX rocket crashes into the moon, Elon Musk's science-fiction ambitions are connected their ain collision people pinch Wall Street.

SpaceX shares fell arsenic overmuch arsenic 11% successful after-hours trading contempt the institution delivering an earnings hit connected Tuesday, arsenic investors expressed worry complete the astronomical measure for Musk's imagination of an AI-powered, space-bound future.

The rocket company, which raised a record-breaking $86 cardinal successful its June IPO, reported that quarterly gross had soared 92% from a twelvemonth earlier to $7.8 billion, supra expert expectations.

SpaceX besides astir halved its nett nonaccomplishment to $541 million, and reported surging gross from its AI business aft striking a bid of compute deals pinch Anthropic and Google.

It's the magnitude the institution is spending connected AI infrastructure, however, that is making investors jittery: astir $16 cardinal for the quarter, good supra the $13 cardinal Wall Street was expecting and much than double the erstwhile quarter.

SpaceX is the latest tech elephantine to look backlash complete its AI spending successful caller weeks, pinch Tesla and Google's shares besides falling aft they reported higher-than-expected capex spending.

'I cognize this sounds wholly nuts'

On the expert telephone pursuing the earnings, Musk and SpaceX's different executives justified the eye-watering spending arsenic basal to execute the cosmic goals that were a staple of the company's pitch to investors successful its record-breaking nationalist offering.

The world's richest man suggested that Starlink, SpaceX's booming connectivity business, would soar to caller heights by providing bandwidth for humanoid robots — presumably built by Tesla — connected Earth and beyond.

"Using robots connected the satellite to standard up manufacturing connected the satellite — which sounds ace sci-fi correct now, but it's going to hap — will alteration america to build the wide accelerator connected the moon," Musk told investors. A wide accelerator is simply a projected electromagnetic motorboat slingshot utilized to catapult objects into space.

"If you person a wide accelerator connected the moon, I cognize this sounds wholly nuts, but you tin astir apt standard to a 1000 times the system of Earth successful position of intelligence launched to space, possibly moreover a cardinal times," the former trillionaire added.

Elon Musk.

Elon Musk has out-of-this-world ambitions for SpaceX.  Benjamin Fanjoy/Getty Images

Musk predicted that SpaceX could deed $1 trillion successful gross arsenic early arsenic 2029, bringing the target guardant from 2031, and said the institution plans to statesman launching its orbital information centers, which SpaceX has dubbed Starmind, adjacent year.

"This is not immoderate benignant of acold early distant thing," he added.

CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX's wide capex walk would apt beryllium "very similar" for the adjacent 2 quarters — implying that it could scope $65 cardinal this twelvemonth — but added that SpaceX's AI infrastructure was paying for itself almost arsenic quickly arsenic the institution tin build it.

"Specifically connected the AI compute side, we're capable to deploy superior successful specified a measurement that we're getting little than a one-year payback," Johnsen said.

In a statement connected Wednesday, UBS analysts raised gross estimates for 2026 and 2027 connected the backmost of the outperformance of the company's AI business, and wrote that SpaceX was "hitting connected each cylinders."

SpaceX stock's bumpy ride

Investor nerves complete rising AI bills person only added to the uncertainty surrounding SpaceX's stock price, which is now trading astir 16% beneath the IPO value aft collapsing complete the past month.

The volatility is apt to continue, pinch astir $100 cardinal worthy of shares group to go disposable for waste connected Thursday aft the expiry of the first lock-up period for early SpaceX investors and employees.

Even pinch the uncertainty, SpaceX's first net arsenic a nationalist institution were a reminder that the company's underlying business is still formidable. Revenue for Starlink, SpaceX's main moneymaker, came successful good up of Wall Street's expectations, and the institution said that endeavor and authorities gross for Starlink grew by much than 108% year-over-year successful the past quarter.

SpaceX is besides coming disconnected 2 successful launches of its massive Starship rocket, which is captious for Musk's eager imagination for moving information centers and manufacturing into orbit.

Musk pointed retired connected the expert telephone that moreover without Starship, SpaceX delivers vastly much worldly into orbit than the remainder of the world combined. The billionaire told investors that SpaceX's engineering prowess meant that its competitors building information centers had small chance of competing, connected Earth aliases successful space.

"This is like, frankly, the New York Yankees going successful and playing a small convention team," said Musk. "It's benignant of ridiculous."

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