MLB Best Home Run Bets For July 29, 2026—DeLauter And Rodriguez

Chase DeLauter has deed 7 of his 11 location runs this twelvemonth against righties connected the road.

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The MLB champion location tally bets are successful a mini funk. Since Bryce Harper and Ozzie Albies deed location runs connected July 20, 4 consecutive MLB champion location tally bets person grounded to deliver. So, the season’s grounds for MLB champion location tally bets sits astatine 18-63, pinch 3 no-bets.

The grounds is rock-solid for a long-shot bet, for illustration location tally bets. As a result, anyone who has stake $100 connected each of the touted location tally props astatine the listed likelihood has profited $861. Again, location tally bets are long-shot wagers, truthful losing streaks are portion of the equation.

There are 2 appealing location tally bets connected today’s MLB slate, though. A young left-handed-hitting outfielder successful a positive matchup and homer-friendly ballpark and a young right-handed-hitting outfielder successful a favorable matchup and homer-friendly ballpark person the astir compelling location tally bets connected today’s MLB slate.

MLB Best Home Run Bets

Chase DeLauter (Cleveland Guardians - OF)

Over 0.5 Home Runs (+338) astatine DraftKings Sportsbook

Chase DeLauter has deed 11 location runs successful 91 games and 380 sheet appearances successful his rookie campaign, drilling nine against righties, 8 connected the roadworthy and 7 against right-handed pitching connected the road.

The 24-year-old left-handed-hitting outfielder has decent batted-ball information this year. Among 253 qualified hitters successful 2026, DeLauter is tied for 142nd successful barrels per sheet quality complaint (5.1%), tied for 157th successful barrels per batted-ball arena complaint (6.7%), tied for 64th successful hard-hit complaint (45.4%), tied for 58th successful fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (95.0 mph), tied for 103rd successful maximum exit velocity (111.2 mph), tied for 102nd successful launch-angle sweet-spot complaint (35.0%) and has a 13.4-degree motorboat angle. DeLauter’s expertise to tube the shot could usage work, but he hits the shot difficult erstwhile he rips alert balls and statement drives.

The outfielder has a desirable matchup tonight. Brady Singer’s 1.83 location runs allowed per 9 innings (HR/9) are the third-most among today’s probable starting pitchers. Singer has surrendered 15 of 21 location runs this twelvemonth to left-handed batters, 10 astatine location and 5 astatine location to left-handed batters. The 29-year-old righty has allowed a 20.8% line-drive rate, 40.6% fly-ball rate, 18.8% location tally per fly-ball complaint (HR/FB) and 40.9% propulsion complaint to left-handed batters this season.

DeLauter’s likelihood of hitting a location tally besides gets a assistance from hitting astatine Great American Ballpark tonight, which ranks tied for eighth successful parkland facet for location runs (112) since 2025. DeLauter tin return advantage of his matchup and the parkland factors to motorboat a location tally coming astatine inviting +338 odds.

Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners - OF)

Over 0.5 Home Runs (+302) astatine DraftKings Sportsbook

Julio Rodriguez isn’t having an eye-popping play astatine the plate, hitting conscionable 16 location runs successful 419 sheet appearances. Still, J-Rod has deed 8 homers against lefties this season, and he’s deed 24 location runs against lefties since 2024.

Rodriguez’s setup is astir cleanable to deed a location tally tonight. Eric Lauer’s 2.20 HR/9 this play is the second-most among today’s probable starting pitchers. The lefty has allowed 20 location runs successful 13 starts and 3 alleviation appearances this year, permitting 4 successful his erstwhile 3 games, allowing astatine slightest 1 successful each of those turns. Lauer has allowed astatine slightest 1 location tally successful 14 appearances this twelvemonth and ceded aggregate homers successful 5 appearances.

The southpaw has been dreadful against right-handed batters. Lauer has allowed 16 location runs, 2.19 HR/9, a 53.3%, 15.6% line-drive rate, 53.3% fly-ball complaint and 14.2% HR/FB to right-handed batters this season.

Rodriguez will get a assistance from the parkland factors tonight, too. UNIQLO Field astatine Dodger Stadium has the highest parkland facet for location runs (127) since 2025. Finally, the weather projects to beryllium warm, and the upwind is expected to rustle retired to correct section tonight. As a result, Rodriguez has an opportunity to location again coming aft doing truthful past night.