MLB Best Home Run Bets For August 8, 2026—Schwarber And Harper

Kyle Schwarber has deed 33 location runs this year, putting him successful a four-way necktie for second.

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The canine days of the summertime person almost wholly eaten distant astatine the profits for the MLB champion location tally bets this season. Sadly, Yordan Alvarez and Jac Caglianone didn’t homer connected Wednesday, moving the acold streak to 12 consecutive picks. The season’s grounds for location tally bets now sits astatine 18-71, pinch 3 no-bets.

Long-shot bets are a blast erstwhile cashing them, but they’re besides prone to extended droughts, and the MLB champion location tally bets are mired successful a nasty one. Anyone who has stake $100 connected each of the suggested location tally props astatine the listed likelihood has profited only $61, an unsatisfying number but still amended than being successful the red.

Two left-handed slugging teammates successful their homer-friendly ballpark coming person a drool-inducing matchup. Both players person an fantabulous opportunity to scope the seats, making their location tally bets the champion connected Saturday’s MLB slate.

MLB Best Home Run Bets

Kyle Schwarber (Philadelphia Phillies - OF)

Over 0.5 Home Runs (+230) astatine FanDuel Sportsbook

Kyle Schwarber is successful the hunt for the 2026 MLB location tally crown, sitting successful a four-way necktie successful 2nd spot pinch 33 homers. The 33-year-old masher has deed 21 homers against right-handed pitching, 20 astatine location and 16 astatine location against right-handed pitching.

The seasoned slugger has high-quality batted-ball data. Among 250 qualified hitters successful 2026, he is tied for 38th successful barrels per sheet quality complaint (8.4%), seventh successful barrels per batted-ball arena complaint (17.1%), 15th successful hard-hit complaint (52.1%), tied for ninth successful fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (97.5 mph), tied for 48th successful maximum exit velocity (113.2 mph), 22nd successful launch-angle sweet-spot complaint (40.0%) and ninth successful steepest motorboat perspective (21.5 degrees).

Schwarber has the champion matchup against a starting pitcher connected today’s MLB slate to deed a location run. Max Scherzer’s 2.64 location runs allowed per 9 innings (HR/9) successful 2026 are the astir among today’s probable starting pitchers. Toronto’s bullpen isn’t bulletproof, either, allowing 1.00 HR/9 this season.

The parkland factors are besides perfect for Schwarber. Citizens Bank Park’s 126 parkland facet for homers for left-handed batters since 2025 ranks second. Schwarber has a chalky +230 statement to deed a location run, but it’s not arsenic chalky arsenic it should be, making it a compelling location tally prop to extremity the barren spell.

Bryce Harper (Philadelphia Phillies - OF)

Over 0.5 Home Runs (+300) astatine FanDuel Sportsbook

Bryce Harper has smashed 24 location runs this year, belting 20 against right-handed pitching, 12 astatine location and 10 astatine location against right-handed pitching. Like his aforementioned teammate, he has a dreamy matchup and fantabulous parkland factors to deed a location tally today.

I sandbagged immoderate numbers connected Scherzer. The 42-year-old righty has allowed 9 homers successful 8 starts this season, permitting astatine slightest 1 successful 5 turns and coughing up aggregate location runs successful three. In addition, Scherzer has allowed six of his 9 location runs to left-handed batters this year.

Harper has the powerfulness and the caliber of batted-ball information needed to return advantage of his matchup and parkland factors today. Among 250 qualified batters this year, Harper is tied for 58th successful barrels per sheet quality complaint (7.4%), tied for 63rd successful barrels per batted-ball arena complaint (11.5%), 72nd successful hard-hit complaint (44.9%), tied for 66th successful fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (94.7 mph), 43rd successful maximum exit velocity (113.5 mph), tied for 48th successful launch-angle sweet-spot complaint (37.5%) and has a 12.7-degree motorboat angle.

Scherzer is homer-prone capable to cough up location runs to some Schwarber and Harper. Thus, Harper’s +300 likelihood to deed a location tally are besides appealing. Finally, the weather forecast is lukewarm successful Philadelphia, pinch the upwind somewhat blowing retired to correct field, further enhancing the chances of Schwarber and Harper hitting location runs.